Raising money by offering Initial Public Offering
(IPO) has proven to be an effective mechanism for firms. A firm with the
help of underwriters fix the issue price usually, ‘leaving enough on the
table’. This IPO underpricing has been well documented by various
researchers across the globe, including the authors, in the Indian
context. This phenomenon and the absence of any trading history make it
difficult to determine the fair price of the stock. In case of markets
being fully efficient, the listing price should reflect the fair value,
and the price should be fairly stable after that. The authors challenge
the notion of existence of strong form of efficiency in the Indian
markets by providing empirical evidences on volatility and volume
trading. To reduce this volatility, the authors have proposed several
mechanisms such as use of anchor investors, price band on listing day,
strengthening derivatives market and alternative method to book building
in determining issue price. Keywords : IPO volatility, underpricing, market efficiency, steps to
reduce price volatility
References
1) Allen F and Faulhaber G. (1989): “Signalling by underpricing in the
IPO market” Journal of Financial Economics; 23, pp. 303-23.
2) Anchor investors fail to fire up IPO market, accessed on 12 December
2010, http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2009-12-26/news/27653994_1_anchor-investors-investors-in-public-issues-qibs
3) Bandivadekar S and Ghosh S (2003), “Derivatives and volatility on
Indian Stock Markets”, Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers, Vol. 24,
No. 3, pp. 1-4.
4) Baron D. (1982), “A model of the demand of investment banking
advising and distribution services for new issues”, Journal of Finance,
Volume 37, Issue 4, pp. 955-976.
5) Coal India IPO finds no takers, accessed on 4 December 2010, http://www.onemint.com/2010/10/18/coal-india-ipo-subscription-numbers/
6) Curran P J, West S G and Finch J F (1996), “The robustness of test
statistics to nonnormality and specification error in confirmatory
factor analysis”, Psychological Methods, 1, pp.16-29.
7) Ljungqvist, A. P., Jenkinson, T., Wilhelm, W. J., (2000), “Has the
Introduction of Bookbuilding Increased the Efficieny of International
IPOs”, working paper, pp. 1-57.
8) Madhusoodanan, T. P. and Thiripalraju M. (1997): “Underpricing in
initial public offerings: The Indian evidence”, Vikalpa : The Journal
For Decision Makers, 22, pp. 17-30.
9) Miller, Edward M., (1977), “Risk, Uncertainty, and Divergence of
Opinion”, Journal of Finance , Volume 32, Issue 4, pp. 1151-1168.
10) Raju M T and K Karande (2003): “Price Discovery and Voltatility on
NSE Futures Market” SEBI Bulletin, Volume 1, Issue 3, pp. 5-15.
11) Rock , Kevin (1986): “Why new issues are underpriced”, Journal of
Financial Economics; 15, pp. 186-212.
12) SEBI mulls price band on IPO listing day, accessed on 5 December
2010,
http://www.hinduonnet.com/2008/01/18/stories/2008011853811900.htm
13) Shah, Ajay (1995): “The Indian IPO market: Empirical facts.
technical report”, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, Mimeo, pp.
1-29.
14) Thenmozhi M (2002): “Futures Trading, Information and Spot Price
Volatility of NSE-50 Index Futures Contract”, NSE Research Initiative,
Paper no. 18, pp. 2-4.
15) Who are anchor investors?, accessed on 10 December 2010, http://sify.com/finance/who-are-anchor-investors-news-editors-picks-jj1lvIgcbah.html
Yash Bansal Student of MS in Financial Engineering
Columbia University, New York,
USA. ybansal31@gmail.com
Anand N. Desai Manager, Human Resources,
Reliance Industries Limited
Mumbai. danand555@gmail.com
A Suitable
Lawful Structure for Introduction of Islamic Banking in India: An
Outline
This paper
examines the Islamic Banking system on a domestic level in comparison to
the global level as well as compares the same to the conventional
banking system. A well-developed banking system is a pre-requisite for
the smooth and effective functioning of an economy. The basic task of
any banking organization is it to mobilize savings from the investors’
community and channel these savings to high – yielding projects. The
fundamentals of most banks in the world are based on interest charged on
loans and interest paid on deposits. Islamic banking is based on Islam’s
Shariah principles, according to those principles, interest (Ribah) in
any form is unlawful and a borrower must not bear all the risks/ cost of
a failure, resulting in a balanced distribution of income and not
allowing the lender to monopolize the economy. Hence, Islamic Banking
operates without charging or paying interest. India is still in the
front line for attracting placements and investments from abroad, and
the Muslim dominated Middle East countries are having excess funds and
are looking for suitable investment opportunities; this is the precise
time to understand and adopt this emerging mode of banking known as
Islamic Banking and to analyze its prospects in India. However, the
present rules and regulations prohibit this banking system from entering
and setting base in India. The authors have suggested a universally
accepted legal frame work for introducing the same in India, after
research on the past, present and existing regulatory models and market
scenario.
References
1. Atif Reza Khan ( 2005) , “Training Islamic Bankers: Back To Basics On
Islamic Finance For The Uninitiated”, Euromoney Books, 2005, ISBN
1-85564-921-7.
2. 'Friends and Rivals', The Economist, 13 September 2007.
3. HSBC Amanah 2007 http://www.hsbcamanah.com/ accessed on 30 June 2011.
4. Islamic Finance overview- Grail Research, Institute Of Banking
Studies http://www.grailresearch.com/pdf/ContenPodsPdf/Islamic_Finance_Overview.pdf
accessed on 30 June 2011.
5. 'Let Us Embrace Islamic Banking', The Sunday India, 10th, January
2010.
6. S&P Islamic Finance Outlook 2009.
7. Sachar Committee Report on Indian Muslims.
8. Shariq Nisar and Mohsin Aziz (2004), “Islamic Non Banking Financial
Institutions in India: Special Focus On Regulation” proceedings of the
seminar on Non Bank Financial Institutions : Islamic Alternatives ,
Kuala Lumpur, 1st- 3rd March 2004. http://www.philadelphia.edu.jo/courses/Markets/Files/Markets/90028.pdf
accessed on 30 June 2011.
9.www.hm.treasury.gov.uk./newsroom_and_speeches/speeches/ econsecspeeches/speech_est_290307.cfm
accessed on 30 June 2011.
10.www.hm.treasury.gov.uk./newsroom_and_speeches/speeches/ econsecspeeches/speech_est_300107.cfm
accessed on 30 June 2011.
11.www.ifsb.org/view.php?ch=4&pg=261&ac=26&fnames=file
&dbindex=0&ex=1193769943&md=%7C%82%85%96D%C6%DE%
E9U%83o%A7%BD%A1%F5.
accessed on 30 June 2011.
12. www.investmentsandincome.com › Banks and Banking - Cached - Similar
accessed on 30 June 2011.
13. www.imf.org/external /pubs/ft/fandd/2005/12/qorchi.htm. accessed on
30 June 2011.
14. www.islamic-banking.com/ibanking/whatib.php accessed on 30 June
2011.
Dr. A. Pandu Assistant Professor in Commerce
Pondicherry University Community College,Lawspet, Puducherry alangayampandu@gmail.com
Dr. Mohammed Galib Hussain Research Supervisor
Emeritus Professor
Islamiah College
Vaniyambadi
Vellore District,Tamil Nadu drmdghalib@yahoo.com
Macroeconomic Determinants Of Stock Price Changes: Empirical Evidence
From Nigeria
The study examined the Macroeconomic Determinants of
Stock Price Behavior in the Nigerian stock market. The objective was to
determine whether selected macroeconomic variables, interest rate,
inflation rate, and exchange rate affect stock price movements. Unit
root test was conducted to test for Stationarity as well as to determine
the degree of integration. Research data were analyzed first, by using
the Ordinary least Squares Method. However, with a calculated
Durbin-Watson Statistic of 0.20665, it was evident that the stochastic
error terms were auto correlated, thus indicating that the results of
the Ordinary least square test are spurious. This necessitated some
adjustment to correct the presence of the auto correlation of the
stochastic error terms; this was done using Cochran-Orcutt
autoregressive model of order 2 AR (2). The results of the study showed
that some macroeconomic variables significantly affect stock price
movements and thus affect the stability of the Nigerian Capital Market.
References
1) Al-Faki, M. (2006). “The Capital Market and Socio-economic
Development,” a paper presented at the 3rd Distinguished Faculty of
Social Sciences Public Lecture series at the University of Benin Main
Auditorium, June.
2) Amadi, S.N. and Odubo, T.D, (2000). “Macroeconomic Variables and
Stock Prices: Causality Analysis,” The Nigerian Journal for Economics
and Management Studies, Volume 4, Issues 1&2 , pp. 29-41.
3) Campbell, J.Y. (1991). “Stock Returns and the Term Structure,”
Journal of Financial Economics, Volume 18, pp. 3 - 37.
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paper presented at a Public Enlightenment Workshop on Opportunities in
the Nigerian Capital Market for Industrial Development of Ekiti State of
Nigeria and Teachers Forum.
5) Ferguson, R.W. (2005). “Asset Price Levels and Volatility,” Federal
Reserve Board, accessed on January 6, 2011; file://F://FRB_Speech.Ferguson-AssetpriceLevelsandVolatility.
6) Fisher, D.E. and Jordan, R.J. (2005). Security Analysis and Portfolio
Management, Pearson Education, Delhi.
7) Glosten, I.R., Jagannathan, R., and Runkle, D.E. (1993), “On The
Relation Between The Expected Value And The Volatility Of The Nominal
Excess Return On Stocks,” Journal of Finance, Volume 48, Issue 5, pp.
1779 - 1801.
8) Heman, S.C. (2001). “Security Management and the Validity of
Portfolio Market Theories,” An Unpublished MBA project submitted to the
Department of Business Administration, Lagos State University, Nigeria.
9) Inegbedion, H.E. (2008). “Efficient Market Hypothesis and the
Nigerian Capital Market,” An Unpublished M Sc. Thesis Submitted to the
University of Benin, Nigeria.
10) N'dri, K.L. (2008). “The Effects of Interest Rate Volatility on
Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Korea,” International
Research Journal of Economics, Volume 14, pp. 275-290.
11) Oaikhena, H.E. (2003). “The Impact of Economic Reform on the
Behaviour of Stock Prices: Empirical Evidence from the Nigerian Stock
Market,” The Indian Journal of Economics, Volume 83, No. 330, pp.
287-304.
12) Odife, D.O. (2002). “Changing Trends in Stock Exchange and Capital
Market Development: Lessons for Africa”, accessed on November 6, 2008;
http://www.unitar.org.dfm.resource_centre.document.
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Global Financial System. Benin City, Bofic Consulting Group Limited.
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India” , accessed on November 11, 2008; http://www.legindia.org.
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Econometrics, Volume 45, pp. 99-120.
16) Udegbunam, R.I. and Oaikhena, H.E. (2002). “Fiscal Deficits, Money
Stock Growth and the Behaviour of Stock Prices in Nigeria: An Empirical
Investigation,” Journal of Financial Management and Analysis, Volume 4,
Issues 1&2, pp. 10 - 27.
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January 16, 2011,
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Henry Egbezien Inegbedion Ph. D Student
Department Of Business Administration
University Of Benin, Benin City
Nigeria. henryegbezien@yahoo.co.uk
Dr. Reddy’s Liquidity Management and Trade-Off
between Liquidity, Risk and Profitability: An Empirical Study
The study is based on different measures to assess
the qualitative efficiency of liquidity management and trade-off between
liquidity, risk and profitability. There was a negative association
between liquidity and profitability. It reflects the unfavorable effect
of liquidity on profitability. The negative correlation between risk and
profitability reflects the unfavorable effect of risk and profitability.
It reveals that the overall performance regarding liquidity management
at Dr.Reddy’s was very good from the creditor’s point of view, but
according to the management’s point of view, it reflects bad financial
planning and inefficient tie up of liquid funds. The company maintained
an excess in relation to total assets was also high. However, it showed
greater efficiency both in working capital turnover and in the
realization of receivables. It indicates that the high degree of
conservative policy adopted by the company has made a negative impact on
its profitability.
References
1) Dr. N. S Nagarajan and Dr. K. Kaliyaperumal ( 2008) , Research
Methodology, First Edition, SKM Publications.
2) Dr. S. Shajahan (2009), Research Methods for Management, Third
Edition, Jaico Publishing House, Mumbai.
3) Murthy (2010), First Edition, Financial Management, Margham
Publications, Chennai , p.5.8, pp. 9.1-9.100.
4) N.P. Srinivasan & M. Sakthivel Murugan ( 2006), Financial Management,
Vrinda Publications ( P) Ltd., New Delhi.
5) P.K. Viswanathan, Business Statistics : An Applied Orientation,
Pearson Education.
6) P.Mohana Rao & Alok K.Pramanik ( 2001), Working Capital Management,
Deep & Deep Publications Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi.
7) Published Annual reports of Dr. Reddy's Laboratories.
8) S.N. Murthy U. Bhojanna (2007), Research Methodology, First Edition ,
Excel Books, New Delhi.
9) T.S.Reddy & Y.Hari Prasad Reddy, Reprint 2007, Management Accounting
, Margham Publications, Chennai, pp. 3.1-3.148.
D. Sasikala Assistant Professor,
Auxilium College for Women,
Vellore, Tamil Nadu. sasidaya@yahoo.co.in
Determinants of Bank’s Profitability: Evidence
from Bangladesh
This empirical study was conducted on randomly
selected six commercial banks of Bangladesh. This study uses widely used
determinants of banks’ profitabilities, which are ROA, ROE and ROD and
these are also commonly used criterion of Bangladesh Bank to evaluate
banks’ performance. In addition, this study evaluates the efficiency
ratio, asset utilization ratio, asset size and ROD as a determinant of
banks’ profitability measured by ROA. The results of the financial
indicators reveal that the Prime Bank is considered to be out performing
in terms of total assets, whereas Arab Bangladesh Bank is showing
soaring performance in terms of profitability. The results of regression
analysis found the explanatory variables - operational efficiency, asset
size and ROD to be positively related and asset utilization to be
negatively related to ROA, but these associations are statistically
insignificant. Keywords: Profitability, Determinants, Bank, Dupont Analysis
References
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Some Evidence from the Middle East”, Grambling State University, Mimeo.
5) Banking Sector Performance. Regulation and Bank Supervision Report
(2010), Bangladesh Bank.
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(2007). “The Role of Retail Banking in the U.S. Banking Industry: Risk,
Return, and Industry Structure”, Economic Policy Review. Volume 13,
Issue 3.
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Profits and Profitability of Publics Sectors in India: A Profit Function
Approach”, Journal of Financial Management and Analysis, Volume 14,
Issue 1, pp.27-37.
8) Fries, S., Neven, D. and Seabright, P. (2002). “Bank Performance in
Transition Economies”, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
Working Paper.
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Commercial Bank Profitability in Malaysia”, University Multimedia
Working Papers.
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Business and Economics Journal, Volume 1.
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Profitability of Commercial Banks”, Journal of Finance, Volume 23,
pp.167-176.
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Technology Systems and Other Determinants of Bank Profitability in the
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15) Khan, A.R. (2008). Bank Management: A Fund Emphasis. Bangladesh:
Decent Book House.
16) Kwan, S. and Eisenbeis, R.A. (2005). “Bank Risk, Capitalization and
Inefficiency”, Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 96-35,
Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of
Pennsylvania.
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Mean-Variance Analysis of Bank Capital Regulation”, Journal of Banking
and Finance, Volume 12, pp. 69-84.
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SF FRB Economic Review.
19) Molyneux, P. and Thornton, J. (1992). “Determinants of European Bank
Profitability: A Note”, Journal of Banking and Finance, Volume 16,
pp.1173-1178.
20) Naceur, S.B. and Goaied, M. (2001). “The Determinants of the
Tunisian Deposit Banks' Performance”, Applied Financial Economics,
Volume 11, pp.317-319.
21) Naceur, S. B. (2003). “The Determinants of the Tunisian Banking
Industry Profitability: Panel Evidence”, Universite Libre de Tunis
Working Papers.22) Peters, D., Raad, E. and Sinkey, J.F.(2004). “The
Performance of Banks in Post-war Lebanon”, International Journal of
Business, Volume 9, Issue 3.
Nusrat Jahan Lecturer, School of Business
Independent University Bangladesh mrs_ashfaque@yahoo.com
Assessing Income Generation from SHG Micro
Enterprises: A Study of a Backward Region of Assam
The paper examines the level of income generation of
the SHG members from their micro enterprises and attempts to identify
proximate determinants of the same. The study is based on the field
survey in four Development Blocks of the Karimganj District of Assam.
Both NGO connected SHGs and SHGs without having any NGO connection were
taken into consideration for the better understanding of the impact of
NGOs on SHGs. Regression analysis is applied in identifying factors
having a significant impact on income of the SHG members. It is observed
that NGO connected SHG members are the most vulnerable and are at a
disadvantaged position than their counterparts so far as income from
their enterprises is concerned. Education has a statistically positive
impact on income so also SHG member’s savings and religion. Male female
disparity is also noticeable in income from micro enterprises. Poor SHG
members, who have a relative edge over others in asset possession, have
also performed relatively better in generating income from their
enterprises. It appears that close monitoring of the group activities
and providing suitable training facility is critical to materialize the
benefits of Self-help Groups. NGOs need to review their actions and have
a crucial role to play in making SHG projects a success. Key Words: Microfinance, SHGs, Income Generation
References
1. Hulme, D., and Mosley, P. (1996), Finance Against Poverty, Volume 1,
Routledge, London, p. 215.
2. Hulme, D., and Mosley, P. (1996), Finance Against Poverty, Volume 2,
Routledge, London, p. 451.
3. Kacker, Loveleen (2006). “SHGs and Women”, Yojana, March 2006, p.73.
4. Karmakar, K.G. (1999), Rural Credit and Self-Help Group, Microfinance
needs and concept in India, Sage publication, New Delhi, p. 375.
5. Manimekalai, N., and Rajaswari, G. (2000). “Empowerment of Women
Through Self-Help Groups”, Margin, Volume 32, Number 4, Jul-Sep 2000,
p.74.
6. Morduch, J., and Haley, B. (2001). “Analysis of the Effects of
Microfinance on Poverty Reduction”, NYU Wagner Working Paper Number
1014, Issued June 28, 2002, pp. 6-83.
7. Rajasekhar, D. (2000). “Microfinance Programmes and Women's
Empowerment: A Study of Two NGOs from Kerala”, Journal of Social and
Economic Development, Volume 3, Number 1, January-June 2000, pp. 76-94.
8. Rajasekhar, D., and Madheswaran. S. (2005). “Economic and Social
Benefits of Micro finance Programmes: An Econometric Analysis”, Journal
of Social and Economic Development, January-June 2005, pp. 76-94.
9. Singh, A.K. (2007). “Functioning & Performance of Swashakti and
Swayamsiddha Projects in India”, Submitted to Solidarity of the Nation
Society, pp. 9-11.
10. Swaminathan, Madhura (2007). “The Microcredit Alternative?”,
Economic and Political Weekly, March 31, 2007, pp. 11-71.
11. Versluvysen, Eugene (1999), Defying the Odds: Banking for the Poor,
Connecticut, Kumarian Press Publication, Ottawa, Canada. pp. 41-44, pp.
224-227.
Website and Online Documentation
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Tamilnadu State, India”, Journal of Finance and Management in Public
Services, Volume 9, Number 2, accessed on 5th December 2010, http://cipfa.org.uk/thejournal/download/Kalaiselvi9.2.pdf
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October 2010, http://faridkot.nic.in/citizencharterfdk.htm
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Analysis”, Staff Paper Number 501, July 2006, accessed on 22nd December
2009, http://www.aae.wisc.edu/pubs/sps/pdf/stpap501.pdf.
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on 5th February 2009, http://karimganj.nic.in/economy.htm
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accessed on 4th April 2010, http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/ess/
pages/rural/wye_city_group/ 2009/paper31chatterjee_ITALY.doc
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2009, http://www.sadhan.org/CapacityBuilding/Selfhelp%20Groups%
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20disempowerment%20of%20poor.pdf
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12) “Swaran Jayanti Gram Swarozgar Yojana(SGSY)”, accessed on 30th June
2009, http://drdaganjam.nic.in/sgsy/selfhelpgroups.htm
Amith Roy Full Time Ph.D Research Scholar,
Department of Economics,
Assam University,
Silchar,Assam. amithroy2008@yahoo.in
Dr. Sumanash Dutta Professor in Economics,
Department of Economics, Assam University, Silchar, Assam. duttasu2003@yahoo.com
Intrinsic Value Estimation Through Fundamental
Analysis : A Case Study of Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd., Hyderabad
Fundamental analysis is a stock valuation method that
uses financial and economic analysis to predict the movement of stock
prices. It is a process of looking at a business at the fundamental
financial level. It is a three-step examination, which calls for
understanding the macro-economic environment and developments, analyzing
the prospects of the industry to which the firm belongs, assessing the
projected performance of the company. Company analysis for the
estimation of intrinsic value can be organized in two parts (a) a study
of financials, and (b) a study of other factors. However, the
researchers have restricted to the study of financials only and have not
focused on other factors. There are two principal methods of equity
valuation, viz., the dividend discount model and the earnings multiplier
model. In practice, the earnings' multiplier method is the most popular
method. The key questions to be addressed in applying the earnings
multiplier approach are: What is the expected EPS for the forthcoming
year? What is a reasonable P/E ratio given the growth prospects, risk
exposure, and other characteristics of the firm? To answer these
questions, investment analysts start with a historical analysis of
earnings (and dividends), growth, risk, and valuation and use this as a
foundation for developing the forecasts required for estimating the
intrinsic value.
References
1. Bhalla V.K. (2007), Financial Management and Policy (Text and
Cases)(6th rev. ed.,), Anmol Publications Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi,
pp.728-773.
2. Bhalla. V.K. (2008), Investment Management: Security Analysis and
Portfolio Management (14th ed.,) S. Chand and Company Ltd., New Delhi,
pp.491-524.
3. Chandrabose D. ( 2006) , Fundamentals of Financial Management,
Prentice Hall of India Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, pp.254-277.
4. Donald E. Fischer and Ronald J. Jordan (2006) , Security Analysis and
Portfolio Management (6th ed.,), Prentice Hall of India Pvt. Ltd., New
Delhi, pp.257-275.
5. Dr. Selvam M., Dr. Babu M., Indumathi G., Kogila N. (2010) , "Impact
of Dividend Announcement on Share Price : An Evaluation Study", Indian
Journal of Finance, Vol.4, No.4, pp.3-16.
6. Eugene F. Brigham, Michael C. Ehrhardt (2007), Financial Management
(Theory & Practice) (6th ed.,), Thomson India Edition, United States,
pp.261-263.
7. James C. Van Horne. (2002) , Financial Management and Policy(12th
ed.,), Pearson Education Asia, Delhi, pp.85-89.
8. Khan. M.Y., and Jain. P.K. (2011), Financial Management, Tata
McGraw-Hill Publishing Company, New Delhi, pp. 4.7 - 4.10.
9. Pandey I.M. (2010) , Financial Management (10th ed.,), Vikas
Publishing House Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, pp.441-442.
10. Prasanna Chandra (2008) , Investment Analysis and Portfolio
Management, Tata McGraw Hill Publishing House, New Delhi, pp.446-462.
11. Ranganatham M., Madhumathi R. (2005) , Investment Analysis and
Portfolio Management, Pearson Education, Delhi, pp.273-296.
12. Sam Luther C.T. (2010), "Sustainable Growth Rate - A Case Study on
Wipro and Infosys", Indian Journal of Finance, Vol. IV, No.1, pp.46-53.
13. Sudarsan Reddy G. (2010) , Financial Management Principles and
Practices (2nd rev. ed.,), Himalaya Publishing House, pp.176-180.
14. Vyuptakesh Sharan ( 2005) , Fundamentals of Financial Management,
Pearson Education, Delhi,pp.33-36.
Dr. C. Viswanatha Reddy Associate Professor
Department of Management Studies
Sree Vidyanikethan Institute of Management, Tirupati
Andhra Pradesh. vsrits@yahoo.com
J. Viswa Pavani MBA IV Semester Student,
Department of Management Studies
Sree Vidyanikethan Institute of Management,Tirupati
Andhra Pradesh.